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Claims of declining population among polar bears not based on scientific forecasting principles.


2  Aug 11 – “The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service estimates that the polar bear population is currently at 20,000 to 25,000 bears, up from as low as 5,000-10,000 bears in the 1950s and 1960s,” says this article by Amrutha Gayathri.

“A 2002 U.S. Geological Survey of wildlife in the Arctic Refuge Coastal Plain noted that the polar bear populations ‘may now be near historic highs,” Gayathri continues.

“J. Scott Armstrong of The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania; Kesten C. Green of Business and Economic Forecasting, Monash University; and Willie Soon of Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, Cambridge, published their findings in 2008, arguing that the claims of declining population among polar bears are not based on scientific forecasting principles.

See entire article:
http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/190805/20110802/polar-bear-global-warming-extinction-climate-change-research-world-wide-fund-wwf-geological-survey-s.htm

See paper by Armstrong, Green and Soon:
http://kestencgreen.com/polarbears.pdf

Maybe more than 35,000 polar bears!
Here’s a breakdown of the actual numbers from reader Jon Salmi:

Canada 15,500 – Canada is home to approximately 15 500 of the estimated 20000 to 25000 (?) Polar Bears in global polar regions.
See http://www.ec.gc.ca/default.asp?lang=En&n=714D9AAE-1&news=18E4D45A-CB74-41EE-B1A4-DFCCFF4B8173 1/16/2009

Note: This probably includes 1,500 bears of the Alaskan Bears of the Southern Beaufort Sea population administered by Canada

Alaska 2,000 – The Chukchi/Bearing seas population (possibly overlaps Russian population).
See http://alaska.fws.gov/fisheries/mmm/polarbear/issues.htm 11/24/10

Norway (Svalbard) 3,000 – From the Norwegian Polar Institute – A survey (2004) of the Barents Sea polar bear population, conducted in August 2004, concluded that there are about 3,000 polar bears in this region.
See http://npweb.npolar.no/english/arter/isbjorn

Greenland 7,500 – There are an estimated 7,500 polar bears in Greenland — the world’s largest island — mainly in the northern and eastern part.
See http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,185739,00.html 2/22/06

Russian Arctic 7,000+ – Covering about 6.2 million square kilometres, the Russian Arctic is home to large populations of wild reindeer (caribou), walruses and more than 7,000 polar bears.
See http://wwf.panda.org/who_we_are/wwf_offices/russia/index.cfm?uProjectID=RU0127 11/24/10

 

11 Responses to Polar Bear Population “May now be near historic highs”

  1. Jay Curtis says:

    OOPS! Weren’t they declared an “endangered species?”

  2. what a suprise? nop not really

  3. John says:

    Why isn’t this in the news more? This is good news right? No drowning polar bears forced to drink cola because there aren’t any fish? I would think that genuine conservationist/enviromentalist would be popping champagne. Well not champagne, releasing CO2 you know. Well having a hardy cup of soy tea maybe.

    • C. Peter Davis says:

      Mainstream media is controlled by the government so they only report heat related weather and such. They haven’t reported anything about all the snow in the mountains or the forecast record cold (again) winter for the U.K. We were all scammed by the corrupt governments of the world.

  4. Anonymous says:

    This just means the decline will be even worse when they all die on broken-off ice floes! /sarc

  5. Laurel says:

    they tried endangered..thing is theres a few too many:-)
    and theyre doing so well some have been seen with Triplets! that doesnt happen unless the mums got plenty of food to carry them.
    for the idiots that cry over ice lack? funny how so many bears survive fairly well in Zoos with no ice and considerably more warmth ie in Aus. and no I dont think a zoo cage is fair for a wideranging predator,but thats something society need examine.

  6. Jon Salmi says:

    Canada 15,500 – Canada is home to approximately 15 500 of the estimated 20 000 to 25 000 (?) Polar Bears in global polar regions. See
    http://www.ec.gc.ca/default.asp?lang=En&n=714D9AAE-1&news=18E4D45A-CB74-41EE-B1A4-DFCCFF4B8173 1/16/2009

    Note: This probably includes 1,500 bears of the Alaskan Bears of the Southern Beaufort Sea population administered by Canada

    Alaska 2,000 – The Chukchi/Bearing seas population (possibly overlaps Russian population). See
    http://alaska.fws.gov/fisheries/mmm/polarbear/issues.htm 11/24/10

    Norway (Svalbard) 3,000 – From the Norwegian Polar Institute – A survey (2004) of the Barents Sea polar bear population, conducted in August 2004, concluded that there are about 3,000 polar bears in this region. See http://npweb.npolar.no/english/arter/isbjorn

    Greenland 7,500 – There are an estimated 7,500 polar bears in Greenland — the world’s largest island — mainly in the northern and eastern part. See http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,185739,00.html 2/22/06

    Russian Arctic 7,000+ – Covering about 6.2 million square kilometres, the Russian Arctic is home to large populations of wild reindeer (caribou), walruses and more than 7,000 polar bears. There are also numerous oil and gas projects here that pose a tremendous threat to the Arctic environment.
    See http://wwf.panda.org/who_we_are/wwf_offices/russia/index.cfm?uProjectID=RU0127 11/24/10

  7. SteveSadlov says:

    Seems that at least in North America, all species of Ursines are in a population growth mode and ranges are expanding. In fact, problems are increasing due to the garbage addiction problem. Garbage addicted ursines are increasingly ranging into heavy developed areas such as the NYC burbs and LA.

  8. scizzorbill says:

    The ‘endangered’ declaration was a bit premature. The leftoids always make up an excuse to achieve their fascist/greenie goals. They fabricated a reason, along with Anwar, to shut down the Alaskan Arctic for petroleum extraction.

  9. Shane says:

    this is global warmning, hotter is colder and less is more polar bears…. global warming isnt as bad as they make out really :D

  10. ShariShark says:

    I’ve always wondered – when they say there are too few polar bears – this is a large predator – how do we know how many there are supposed to be? Is 20,000 a lot? or is it a little? Personally I think it is a lot of polar bears as they require a diet of very large prey – of course, if there are no seals, they can eat any large meat animal – humans, deer, fish, etc. They also breed quite well with their cousins – grizzly bears as well.


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