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German electric utility executive Fritz Vahrenholt expects cooling until at least 2050. Argues that IPCC forecasts on the severity of climate change are overstated and supported by weak science.
“The climate catastrophe is not occurring,” writes Vahrenholt in his book “Die Kalte Sonne” (The Cold Sun), published by Hoffmann and Campe.
The book is a source of discomfort within Vahrenholt’s party, the SPD. In fact, a lecture Vahrenholt was scheduled to give at the University of Osnabrück in northwestern Germany was recently cancelled.
Olaf Stampf and Gerald Traufetter of Spiegel Online interviewed Vahrenholt yesterday. Here are excerpts from that interview.
“In terms of the climate,” says Vahrenholt, 62, who holds a doctorate in chemistry, “we have seen a cyclical up and down for the last 7,000 years, long before man began emitting CO2 into the atmosphere. There has been a warming phase every 1,000 years, including the Roman, the Medieval and the current warm periods. All of these warm periods consistently coincided with strong solar activity. In addition to this large fluctuation in activity, there is also a 210-year and an 87-year natural cycle of the sun. Ignoring these would be a serious mistake …
“…the sun has been getting weaker since 2005, and it will continue to do so in the next few decades. Consequently, we can only expect cooling from the sun for now.
“…the last sunspot cycle was weaker than the one before it. This is why the sun’s magnetic field has continued to weaken since 2000. As a result, this magnetic field doesn’t shield us against cosmic radiation quite as well, which in turn leads to stronger cloud formation and, therefore, cooling.
” I take this seriously and expect only cooling from the sun until 2050.”
Here’s the entire interview:
Thanks to George Fitzsimmons, John Etherington, Benjamin Napier, Lyn Jenkins, Sonya Porter and Martin Hoer for this link
“Again overseas media is covering things the US media is ignoring,” says Martin. “More and more overseas media is printing things we do not see here in the States.”
Even in the face of the exaggerated IPCC claims (lies might be a better word), one of Vahrenholt’s big concerns seems to be “that if citizens discover that the people who warn of a climate disaster are only telling half the truth, they will no longer be prepared TO PAY HIGHER ELECTRICITY COST for wind and solar (energy). Then the conversion of our energy supply will lack the necessary acceptance.”
Even in the face of the exaggerated IPCC claims, Vahrenholt thinks “we still have to reduce CO2 emissions through WORLDWIDE EMISSIONS TRADING.
Not exactly comforting words.
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Good news!A publisher in Italy has now translated Not by Fire but by Ice into Italian.