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Among other things to worry about is a danger from nature that can have catastrophic consequences. A global shift into another ice age.


Little Ice Age: The Approaching Disaster

Byb Tom Chatham

(Excerpts) – The Earth has spent much of its history moving from one ice age to another separated by short periods of warn weather. An ice age is the norm not the exception on this planet. These periods of warn weather are thought to be around 12,000 years. It seems that we may be nearing the end of one of those warm periods and a shift to a colder climate may be imminent. Even if it took decades for the climate to become unbearable to us, our food production would have ceased long before then.

Even if you stored 20 years worth of food, it would eventually run out, then what? This scenario could lead to the slow starvation of billions.

The problem with a global disaster, that requires evacuation from some areas, is that if there are safe zones following the disaster, how many people can that safe zone realistically support? If everyone has the same idea of moving to that zone, what will be the outcome? The first people in the zone will see it as their zone and at some point will try to limit or stop others from entering to insure their own survival. This is human nature. If you are one of the first ones in, are you prepared to fight to maintain that zone and for how long? How long do you think you will be able to fight off the rest of the world? If there is a great deal of fighting, will the resources in the safe zone survive destruction?

In an environment where you have to do everything inside, at least for a large portion of the year, energy is the key to everything. With enough energy you can produce light to grow food, stay warm, provide ventilation, produce power and run machines. In some survival situations, energy may be the primary need in order to produce food and pump water.

Wood is a good energy source that humans are very accustomed to using and we have a plentiful supply.

Coal is a good source of energy and we have an abundant supply of it in this country. We have used coal for over a hundred years and we know how to get the most from it. It can be dirty but will store indefinitely and is a compact source of energy.

In a long term survival situation where energy is a key to staying alive, a dependable source of power will be a necessary component to your plan. The storage of liquid fuels is possible to run a generator but could you afford a 20 year supply of fuel right now if you needed it? If so will it store for that long and how will you replace it when it is all gone? Also, generators running on liquid fuels will require periodic maintenance and replacement of components. Even with a supply of repair parts, your engine will eventually wear out requiring a replacement. You need a power system that is easy to maintain, is extremely durable and is simple enough that you can manufacture parts for if necessary.

A simple, tried and tested power system is steam power. With a boiler and a steam engine you can power just about anything and secondary steam can be used for heating. Machines and generators powered by a power take-off shaft can be run by a single engine. Boilers and steam engines are much simpler in design and function than petroleum based engines making repairs and maintenance long term more realistic. With a power take-off shaft you can run several items off of one engine such as a water pump, DC generator, AC generator, metal working machines and ventilation equipment.

The data from paleoclimatology, including ice cores, sea sediments, geology, paleobotany and zoology, indicate that we are on the verge of entering another Ice Age, and the data also shows that severe and lasting climate change can occur within only a few years.

In all likelihood, a return to a little ice age will entail cooler summers and colder winters with a growing season 1 to 2 months shorter in many places. This is something we can adapt to and is much less catastrophic than a full fledged ice age with glaciers covering large portions of the northern hemisphere. Even though we will be able to adapt, it will still cause problems with food production in a world that continues to grow at an ever increasing rate. It could still mean shortages and starvation for some around the world as the grain producing regions in the north are able to produce much less or nothing at all in some places. Even a small shift in climate still holds the potential for dire results if we do not plan for it ahead of time.

I’ve shortened this excellent article quite drastically.
See it in its entirety here:
http://www.silverbearcafe.com/private/08.12/iceage.html

Thanks to Martin Pigott for this link

 

24 Responses to Little Ice Age: The Approaching Disaster

  1. TomO says:

    The tone of the article excerpt suggests, at least to me, depopulation and de-industrialization is the key to survival if in fact we are entering a full blown ice age. Then again, I may be reading between the letters in the words in the lines. Personally, I think the key to survival will be creating innovative sources of food, and moving towards a different source of nuclear power. Agreeing that energy will be the key to survival, I am not sure the picture he has painted in this excerpt allows for much more the the most robust of people, heavily controlled in their physical expressions towards one another, to represent the human presence on planet icebox.

  2. I believe a little ice age is survivable by most of the people now on this planet. Grain-growing areas in say, Canada, would have a shorter growing season, but other areas to the south could probably take up the slack, if there was more precipitation in those areas due to the changed climate conditions, or more melt run-off to be held in reservoirs for irrigation.

    However, a full-blown ice age will, necessarily, cause the deaths of probably billions of people. There will be plenty of Earth that won’t be covered in ice. (I seriously doubt we’ll have “snow-ball” Earth, in which the whole globe becomes iced over. That takes special plate tectonic movement.) But, all the people in the north would have to move south and that will cause wars. Also, supply lines will be cut and, as in America, there are only 3 days worth of food on the shelves of your local grocery store. After that, it will be chaos and every man (or family) for itself.

    Still, hot and dry places, like Tucson, Arizona, would have a cooler wetter climate. Ancient pack-rat middens–dated to 4 and 5 thousand years ago, had acorns and pine nuts in them. That means oaks and pines grew where now only cactus and palo verde trees and other desert adapted plants now grow. And, again, the mountains around Tucson, and in Arizona, would have more snow and more melt water in the spring to be used for growing crops, as well as providing sufficient water if more people moved there.

    Also, the central valley of Califorina, during the last ice age was wetter and cooler, but still quite liveable. In fact, there was probably a lot more water coming down off the snowy mountains (the Sierra Nevadas)so the irrigation (if needed) to grow crops would easy.

    In the U.S. all we would have to do is received 38 million Canadians moving south and, probably, a few more million American citizens from the areas that would be under constant snow and ice conditions–the northern tier states and New England. I think we could do it. And, of course, there are large areas of Northern Mexico that have very low population densities due to the hot dry condition, which should change with a full-blown ice age, becoming more habitable.

    But then again, a huge chunk of rock could come flying out of the sky in a few years and cause the near annihilation of all life on Earth. But, hey! We’ve all got to go sometime. So, don’t worry, be happy … and be prepared as well as you can.

  3. ShariShark says:

    This points out what we have been saying for years, even if the warmists are right, we will survive on a planet that is warmer but we MUST be prepared in advance for a climate that cools and reduces the area in which we can grow food. Simple as that. Spending billions fighting warming means that we are totally unprepared for any cooling and will be caught with our wind farms and solar panels buried in snow.

  4. Steven Rowlandson says:

    Does this mean that coal mining will become a popular and honorable profession and a favorite pass time of AGW people, greens and enviros?

    Just trying to be funny on my 52nd.

  5. Steven Rowlandson says:

    Here is the Piers Corbyn Report.
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ei9xRJfIrg&feature=plcp

  6. Harold says:

    If you want to get info on and offer support to a group that is actually DOING something along the lines of developing local, decentralized energy, industrial production, fabrication and agriculture, something desperately needed in the event of an in ice age or other natural calamity, see the following links, though an ice age is probably the farthest thing from this group’s mind. the TED talk (first link) only runs about four minutes, and will impress anybody who’s breathing and has a pulse.

    http://www.ted.com/talks/marcin_jakubowski.html

    for further info see the web site:

    http://opensourceecology.org

  7. Theo says:

    With the last Maunder and Dalton times, we must remember that the earth’s populations was maybe not even a sixth of what it is now and therefore the effects of the next minimum would be much worse. The French revolution was really ignited due to the cold and food shortages of the Maunder minimum and I can imagine what will happen next with the whole world as we are entering the next minimum time.

  8. Alex says:

    A little ice age will be okay, extremely harsh winters, very short season for agriculture, crops etc…but will be habitable. One the other hand, if it turns out to be a Big Ice Age we are in deep S***t.

  9. laurel says:

    what a lot of folks don’t realise is that most plants will set seed or fruit only OVER certain temperatures,
    they may struggle in the real hot years but they will try.
    in Cold years, they simply will not bother flowering in some species, and those that do manage will be unable to bring grain/fruit to full ripeness, which means the following year for annuals there IS no seed to replant.
    some plant species are so damn fussy a fraction of a degree too cool and the seeds wont germinate. they rot. simple facts like that are not widely know, and will be among the things that can unhinge a food supply in a short period.
    I have to admit I would take extreme pleasure in reminding cold greentards that its against their religion to burn wood coal etc etc to keep warm and they should shiver harder to keep warm as they are presently suggesting all but the well off, do now. the old wood stove cooks m,eals heat water and heats a home..but gee burning wood(renewable resource) is frowned upon and banned in many suburban aussie towns.
    bet the regs change fast if it gets cold.

  10. Bones says:

    I’m affraid your survival senarios are way out of the realms of reality. If this interglacial terminates there will be horendous loss of life and what survives will differ greatly in how it views life.

    Humanity will do what it has done several times before apon exiting an interglacial, survive using the most basic hunter gatherer instinct it can find. We will once again become a stone age race and there is no other pathway.Glacial periods last from 80 – 100 thousand years, have you any idea how much you forget in that timeframe. Remember theres nothing new under the sun and greater cultures than ours have come and gone and im not talking about the holocene. Stone age man had the same mental facultys as modern man and he didnt decide to write a book or build a wheel, why, because it had no relation or application to how he had to live. After 2 – 3 generations your children would not be able to read write or remember this age,they would roam this earth like all the other beasts and good luck to them.

  11. Ross says:

    WE can build more Green Houses and with our techknowledgey will be abbel to maintain them if we start NOW! We can feed the whole world if our Governments would let us.

    • Marcus says:

      By the time these fools in power that claim “Global Warming” realize we are in a “Little Ice Age”, the starving masses will overrun the greenhouses like locusts.

  12. Steven Rowlandson says:

    When an ice age sets in civilization and life north of Tennesee or may be Kentucky will be non viable. You will be staying or you will be living. It will be much the same deal along the same latitude more or less all around the northern hemisphere and it will be a miracle if civilization can be maintained.

  13. Kenneth Lund says:

    Speaking of that, it’s time for that yearly reminder again of just how TINY we are compared to anything in space (you might have seen this already)

    The first one demonstrates the relative size of the planets and the sun:
    http://www.iceagenow.com/Solar_System_Relative_Size.htm

    Now TRY to wrap your mind around this………

    This is a Hubble Telescope Ultra Deep Field Infrared View of countless
    “ENTIRE” Galaxies Billions of Light-Years Away….and that’s not including other dimensions:
    http://imgsrc.hubblesite.org/hu/db/2003/01/images/a/formats/full_jpg.jpg

    We need to see our lives and ourselves in perspective.
    We aren’t the center of the universe.
    And we certainly cannot control the climate or anything else !!

  14. Rosco says:

    Never put all your eggs in one basket!

    The warmista are certainly basket cases – they see no other possibility other than increasing temperatures despite all the evidence that there has been a cyclical nature to ice-ages/interglacials for a long time.

    Prudence dictates that you prepare for any scenario and reducing energy supply is never prudent.

    We have been remarkably successful at reducing real pollution and can deal with future problems if we can stop this silly delusion that a remarkably non-reactive trace gas which is an effective insulator can heat the atmosphere by radiation !

    They forget that the temperature causes the radiation not the other way round – only radiation from a hotter source can cause warming.

  15. Gail says:

    I don’t know where DM Mitchell is getting all his facts from. It takes alot more than grain to properly feed people. Try living solely on grain and you’ll end up dead from malnutrition. Supermarkets have a 3 day supply of food? For whom? Where does this amazing fact come from? The liberal far left? I sincerely doubt that most people would survive the onslaught of an ice age. Most of these people don’t know how to cook a decent meal, how to forage for food in the wilds or how to hunt. Most have zero survival skills. McDonalds goes under ice and snow and the populace would starve.

    • Theo says:

      Hahahah I like the MacDonald’s one!!!
      But…..there are millions only living on rice or grain and some only of fish etc. So yes definitely it will have an impact but please think far….away from the States and MacDonalds!

  16. John Blake says:

    First, Ice Ages are primarily a geophysical, plate-tectonic phenomenon tied to disposition of Earth’s drifting continental landmasses, not to some ill-defined recrudescent climatological condition.

    Second, given adequate political-economic incentive such as mass depopulation, latter-day hydroponic and ocean-borne technological developments could likely sustain redistributed planetary populations for an indefinite period.

    Third, Planet Earth has in fact grown much too small for comfort, vulnerable to everything from cometary/meteorite strikes to magnetic reversals, super volcanoes, any number of long-term climate shifts– any one of which could easily extinguish sentient life forever.

    On balance, the solution is to move en masse off-planet. Given advances in materials (affordable supplies of “fictionite”), by c. 2030 – ’50 vertical Erie Canals wedded to Lagrange-point skyhooks will be engineering rather than scientific problems, likely allied to macro-teleportation techniques capable of strewing vast intrasolar refugia throughout Sol’s “habitable zone.”

    By the 22nd Century, barely eighty years from now, Earth’s inhabitants huddled in narrow equatorial zones will be vastly outnumbered by swarms of independent polities akin to medieval Italian city-states, innovative, libertarian, mutually interlinked by ultimate necessity.

    Within another century or two, cybernetic organisms and who knows what else will have begun a
    mass migration outward, to the stars. In sum the world(s) of AD 2500 will be no more conceivable to present company than ours would be to that of 1500. Either this supra-evolutionary leap occurs within the next 10 – 20 generations, or humankind’s paltry survivors will sink back to paleolithic hunter-gatherers, precluding any possible revival of high-tech civilization over evolutionary epochs, if at all.

  17. Pauly says:

    Failed crops from freezing will result in a fast death of billions.

  18. SteveSadlov says:

    Lots of attention on NH sea ice extent just now. But there is a strange thing going on. There is a massive compressive pile up of ice against the Northern shores of Greenland, Baffin I, etc. It could be the beginning of an ice shelf. I wonder what impact having an ice shelf there would be?

  19. Bobby Smith says:

    If an ice age is on the way, there may well be some significant degree of pole shift as well. Robert has pointed out in his Magnetic Reversals that the magnetic north is moving 60 Km per year toward Siberia. This means that the equator is moving northward, does it not? In this case, Canada and the US may in fact become warm zones.
    Bob

  20. Bobby Smith says:

    If the coming ice age (yes, I do believe it’s coming)arrives as described in Robert’s Magnetic Reversals, then there will also be a pole shift. Robert explains that the mag. N pole is already moving 60 Km per year toward Siberia. This means the equator is moving northward over North America, and southward south of Siberia. If this movement is accelerated, perhaps Canada, USA and Mexico might be much warmer than envisioned by commenters above.
    Bob


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