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“Every 25 to 30 years the oceans undergo a natural cycle (the PDO) where the colder water below churns to replace the warmer water at the surface, and that affects global temperatures.”


Sorry Global Warming Alarmists, The Earth Is Cooling

By Peter Ferrara, Contributor to Forbes.com

(Excerpts) – Climate change itself is already in the process of definitively rebutting climate alarmists who think human use of fossil fuels is causing ultimately catastrophic global warming.  That is because natural climate cycles have already turned from warming to cooling, global temperatures have already been declining for more than 10 years, and global temperatures will continue to decline for another two decades or more.

Central to these natural cycles is the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).

Don Easterbrook, Professor Emeritus of Geology at Western Washington University, publicly predicted in 2000 that global temperatures would decline by 2010.  He made that prediction because he knew the PDO had turned cold in 1999, something the political scientists at the UN’s IPCC did not know or did not think significant.

See entire much more comprehensive article:
http://www.forbes.com/sites/peterferrara/2012/05/31/sorry-global-warming-alarmists-the-earth-is-cooling/

Thanks to Gordon Davies for this link

 

25 Responses to Sorry Global Warming Alarmists, The Earth Is Cooling

  1. Robertvdl says:

    A new meta-analysis, published Sunday in the journal Nature Climate Change, found that the presence of earthworms appears to increase soils’ output of CO2 by 33 percent and of nitrous oxide by 42 percent.
    http://www.climatecentral.org/news/earthworms-increase-soils-greenhouse-gas-emissions-study-finds-15549

    Climate Change is Worm Made

  2. Peter says:

    And I just read it was the hottest January on record in Australia.

    • Dan says:

      You can’t believe a lot of what you see when you see claims about things being the hottest. It really doesn’t matter what happens in one isolated part of the world. What matters are global averages. Take December for example. If you listened to the press you’d believe globally things were really warm. The reality is that globally the temperature was a mere 0.1 degrees above normal. We are talking a number that is statistically irrelevant. If you took the Arctic sea ice and Antarctic sea ice and you came up with a total you’d find that global sea ice was above normal. The press and the IPCC have an agenda and unfortunately that doesn’t include the truth. Beware of reports of isolated incidents that get presented in order to influence opinion.

    • mike james says:

      hottest on record ? have a look at joNova’s site
      joannenova.com.au

  3. Italics Mine says:

    Perhaps earthlings’ use of fossil fuels is not the cause of “global warming,” as they explain it. But surely the extraction of 10 billion barrels of oil a day decade after decade must be causing some kind of adverstity.

  4. Paul says:

    With the PDO going into a cold phase and on top of that low solar activity, we are going to see some record breaking cold spells in the next decade over Europe and UK.

  5. Julie O'connell says:

    And it’s not going to get warmer anytime soon.In Fact more winter weather will continue for at least another couple months if not more.Global cooling has begun.

  6. Mirco Poletto says:

    You know… geologists think the next ice age will last about 400.000 years…

  7. KirkMyers says:

    In addition, the sun has entered a quiet phase (few sunspots and low solar flux), which, in combination with the negative PDO, could spell disaster for the agricultural regions of the northern hemisphere. A long, prolonged cold period would trigger widespread famine.

    The onset of a Dalton Minimum or, worse, Maunder Mininum may be in the offing. We are at the end of the most recent interglacial period, which commenced about 11,500 years ago when we exited the Younger Dryas glaciation. We can only hope that our planet remains warm. Warm is good; cold is deadly.

  8. Ross says:

    Since Antarctica recorded its largest ice mass since records began, Australia and others alike in the Southern Hemisphere wil not escape the chilly conditions either.

  9. Laurel says:

    and its palyin merry hell with food crops, after the 2 weeks or so of warm to insanely hot weather in aus its now so cllo again that tomato plants have gone from dropping flowers due to heat to flowering but.whats produced is slowing down and prob wont manage to ripen before it gets even colder at night and they die off.
    night temps are low double or even round 7c, thats not a summer night in aus, normally.

  10. Over the last 150 years, there have been 3 global warming periods and 3 global cooling periods (the third started in 1998). This cycle corresponds exactly with the increases and decreases of TSI (Total Solar Irradiance).

    All during this time fossil fuel consumption and CO2 concentration have been increasing.

    The laws of systems analysis dictate that cycle inputs (TSI) cause cycle outputs (global temps); ramp inputs (fuel use, CO2) cannot cause cycle outputs.

    The sun is the elephant in the room of climate change; CO2 is the flea on the elephant’s ass coming along for the ride.

    • David says:

      Absolutely Charles, you have the nail right on the head.

    • kirkmyers says:

      Good analysis. As CO2 levels have risen, global temperatures have remained flat for the past 17 years and have begun to decline slightly since 2002.

      There is no proven linkage between CO2 levels and warming. CO2 levels increase in response to warmer temperatures as CO2 is out-gassed from the oceans as they warm.

      CO2 doesn’t “trap” long-wave infrared energy. It absorbs and emits it in all directions, and then it is transported to the the top of the atmosphere and into space via convection. CO2’s impact on our climate is the equivalent of a fart in a hurricane. It’s so small it’s not measurable.

      The sun and oceanic cycles like the PDO and AMO are the big players when it comes to climate.

  11. Icy Crazy says:

    Sadly from the Weather, it seems to be getting warmer, a lot of above average this February when a couple of winters before, it used to be very cold in February in Texas at least, now it’s the opposite. :/ In fact, speaking of Texas, it seems to get warmer there a lot so I don’t understand about that part.

    Other parts of the US, I’m not so sure about.

    • Texas weather is always strange. Yes, now it is warmer than it should be, but then it will get colder again later. I have noticed that many of our nights this Winter have been below average, while many of our days have been warmer.

      I have this theory, though I am not a scientist, that between the Arctic and Antarctic, the warmer air gets trapped and concentrated in certain areas. Yet temps near the equator seem to be strangely cooler. Go figure!

  12. John the 1st says:

    Seems that even the UN is starting to see the light, or should I say feel the heat? Fell the chill? Well you get the idea.

    Report shows UN admitting solar activity may play significant role in global warming

    Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/02/01/report-show-un-admitting-solar-activity-may-play-significant-role-in-global/#ixzz2JycvgX8u

    http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/02/01/report-show-un-admitting-solar-activity-may-play-significant-role-in-global/

  13. AndrewS says:

    Article in press in Progress in Physical Geography

    Sudden climate transitions during the Quaternary
    http://www.esd.ornl.gov/projects/qen/transit.html
    By Jonathan Adams, Mark Maslin & Ellen Thomas

    [The Quaternary geologic time period covers 2.588 Million years ago to the present.]

    just a few relevant excerpts to consider(The article goes into much much more detail which you can read at the link above):

    Abstract:
    “The time span of the past few million years has been punctuated by many rapid climate transitions, most of them on time scales of centuries to decades or even less.
    …”All the evidence indicates that most long-term climate change occurs in sudden jumps rather than incremental changes.”

    Introduction:
    “Until a few decades ago it was generally thought that all large-scale global and regional climate changes occurred gradually over a timescale of many centuries or millennia, scarcely perceptible during a human lifetime. The tendency of climate to change relatively suddenly has been one of the most suprising outcomes of the study of earth history, specifically the last 150,000 years (e.g., Taylor et al., 1993). Some and possibly most large climate changes (involving, for example, a regional change in mean annual temperature of several degrees celsius) occurred at most on a timescale of a few centuries, sometimes decades, and perhaps even just a few years.”

    That bears repeating:[…perhaps even just a few years!]

  14. Ken says:

    Just like Clock Work or should I say Sun Cycle Work.
    1940 – The big concern was how are we going to fight the next Ice Age, the Earth was cooling in the mid 40’s.
    1970 – The Earth is over heating Man must do something to stop it.
    2000 – The earth is cooling again.
    2030 – We will either be in another Little Ice Age, the beginning of a Glazier Ice Age or a warming cycle.

    What will the next Solar Cycle actually bring us??

  15. keith says:

    Icy Crazy accually when your in the mist of a trainsition climate phase its not unusal to see exstreams of cold and warm weather like that.Its called a fight eventurey the cold will win the fight.

  16. Anybody noticed that sunlight doesn’t seem to be as bright any more?

  17. David says:

    We have hot spells, we have cold spells. We have floods, we have droughts. Thats not climate change its just the normal variation of weather. Young people might not have seen it but I am 63 and I have seen it and 63 is only a drop in the bucket as far as our Earth is concerned.


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