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Based on long-term averages from 1966-2009, the Atlantic has typically seen nine named storms by Oct. 4 and five hurricanes by Oct. 7, says this article by Chris Dolce.
So far this hurricane season, the Atlantic basin has produced nine named storms, two of which have become hurricanes, Humberto and Ingrid.
Neither of those storms reached major hurricane status, a Category 3 or higher rating on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
You have to go back almost 20 years to 1994 to find the last time we did not have a major hurricane in the Atlantic, Caribbean or Gulf of Mexico.
The other seasons since 1960 with no major hurricanes were 1986, 1972 and 1968.
There’s still time left in the 2013 season for a major hurricane to form, but the odds get lower and lower the farther you head into October and November.
See entire article, originally entitled “Hurricane Season 2013: Year Without a Major Hurricane?”
Thanks to John for this link
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Good news!A publisher in Italy has now translated Not by Fire but by Ice into Italian.